oil price forces change to flower flow
Soaring air freight prices this year are hastening a switch to sea transport in what will mark a tipping point for the global cut flower industry, according to the world's biggest rose supplier, Ramakrishna Karuturi.
Bangalore-based Karuturi, who aims to produce 1 billion stems a year by 2010 from his flower growing bases in India, Kenya and Ethiopia, says seaborne exports represent the new reality in the $US30 billion a year global flower trade.
"This is a disruptive element, with the potential to bring cargo costs down by at least 60 percent -- and 40 percent of a rose’s cost is freight," he told The Australian.
The value of a flower begins to wilt as soon as it is cut. Hence, high-value flower exports to key markets in Europe, Japan and the U.S. usually are air freighted to get them into customers’ hands as quickly as possible.
But the spike in oil prices - including aviation fuel - in recent years has accelerated work by flower growers and shipping companies on the seaborne alternative and its associated storage technology.
Karuturi believes the trend to sea freight, using special refrigerated containers where temperature, humidity, and other factors can be remotely monitored, will have a far bigger impact than just a cost saving for shippers.
"It is far more disruptive than just cost. It will lead to a big increase in consumer demand, and it means growers will have to extend the product life by four weeks," he said.
For example, it would mean growers in Africa or Latin America could begin shipping roses to say, Europe and the United States in January, well in advance of the peak sales date of Valentine’s Day on February 14, rather than the air freight rush that now takes place in early February.
"The cost/supply spikes associated with Christmas, Valentine’s Day, Mothers Day, Chinese New Year and Russian Mother’s Day could be a thing of the past," Karuturi said.
According to Karuturi, sea freight for flowers was initiated about eight years ago by a grower in Ecuador, for the U.S. market. Karuturi will ship his own first containers of flowers next month, from India to Singapore, and from his major production bases in Africa to Europe. Shipping roses to Australia is also on his horizon.
"It (sea freight) has been baby steps so far, but now it’s reaching traction." In Karuturi’s view, the trend to sea freight will "decimate" the European business. "Flowers will no longer be expensive," he declares.
The Netherlands has been at the centre of the world’s flower trade for decades, handling imports from growers in Africa and elsewhere, and supplying wholesalers and retailers throughout Europe. Colombia and Ecuador are the big suppliers to the U.S., while China has the largest area under cultivation for floriculture.
But since 2007, when Karuturi bought the Kenya-based Sher Agencies from its Dutch parent for about US$70 million, Karuturi has been the world’s rose king. At the same time he has added a flower business in Ethiopia, built from scratch.
"In terms of size, Kenya is bigger now (about 150 hectares under greenhouse), but Ethiopia is being ramped up and by December this year will be bigger than Kenya," he said.
For Karuturi, Ethiopia offers a better growth outlook than Kenya, where contiguous land is not available. Equally promising because of its proximity to the U.S. market is Latin America, where Ecuador, Colombia or even a greenfield site in Brazil are possibilities for Karuturi.
"We have been seriously looking at Ecuador. We want to offer a better product portfolio and de-risk our business model. Essentially it is a northern hemisphere-southern hemisphere arbitrage play. It is good to broaden the base of our production."
Karuturi, who trained as a mechanical engineer and whose family still has business interests in cables, transmission towers and processed food, insists he is "just a farmer" with a passion for agriculture.
"Five years from now, I hope that roses will only be 25 to 30 percent of our company (Karuturi Global Ltd) revenue."
While roses are ringing up the company’s cash registers – particularly in the fast-growing Indian market – what really excites Karuturi is a US$1 billion agricultural project in Ethiopia, covering a massive 340,000 hectares, where he plans to grow rice, sugar cane, palm oil and vegetables.
"That is the sort of scale you could once only think of getting in Argentina, Brazil or Australia. I couldn’t get that much land in India. But we have obtained the land in Ethiopia on long-term 50-year lease."
Karuturi aims to break ground on October 8 this year. The location is Gambella in the west of Ethiopia close to the south Sudan border, where a tributary of the Blue Nile runs through the land.
"We’ve bought the farm equipment, and lined up agricultural experts from the U.S. and Latin America to guide us in large-scale farming. We will be in production by February 2009, opening 10,000 hectares in the first quarter, and then adding 10,000 hectares a month after that," he said.
Within 14 months Karuturi hopes to have built a sugar mill, rice mill, ethanol processing plant and a palm oil refinery. Initial funding for the project is $US100 million in private equity, $US100 million from Karuturi and US$200 million of debt. In a year’s time, Karuturi plans a second round of funding.
Karuturi says his eventual goal is to create an Asian food multinational along the lines of Cargill, ConAgra and Del Monte. "These are my benchmarks."
But in the meantime, there’s a burgeoning flower demand to meet. India now accounts for less than 20 percent of Karuturi’s flower business, but the rapid growth of the Indian middle class is fast changing that picture. From college kids to middle managers to high-flying CEOs, everyone, it seems, wants to buy roses.
"This year, for Valentine’s Day, we were embarrassed by the demand," Karuturi said. "In fact, it was crazy – we had too many orders. We had to stagger our deliveries from February 14 to 17. In 2009, we’ll be delivering all through the week, not just on February 14.
He notes a growing sophistication in the Indian market; customers want chocolates, bottles of wine or cake to go with their rose orders, spending on average about $40 to $50 in 2008.
It’s not all one-way traffic for this Indian flower grower. Later this month (August) he’ll take delivery of his first batch of Australian flowers – waxflowers and proteas – imported from Craig Musson’s Wafex export business in Western Australia. With their long life, the flowers will retail in India as a premium product, Karuturi says